The bullish breakout in crypto that began last week has investors beaming with hope for a sustainable recovery. Bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies have struggled throughout 2022 amid internal and external uncertain events.
The crypto market’s initial pullback between November 2021 and April 2022 did not worry investors much, as it was seen as a natural pullback from all-time highs. However, the May crash of TerraUSD (UST), a once-thriving algorithmic stablecoin from the Terra Luna (LUNA) ecosystem, changed the course of the market from a pullback to a full-fledged bear run.
Several companies exposed to UST failed to survive the crash, including Three Arrows Capital, Celsius Network and Voyager. Many people have lost their life savings and set crypto back years.
Fast forward to November 2022, yet another crypto giant filed for bankruptcy amid a catastrophic collapse. Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX exchange faced a liquidity crisis following reports of an unhealthy financial relationship with its sister company Alameda Research.
Crypto got bloody again, with Bitcoin price falling to November 2020 levels at $15,466. Ethereum, the second largest crypto, fell to $1,100 below support and hit a four-month low of $1,075.
Crypto experts believe that 2023 is unlikely to be the year we see a massive bullish reversal, with some predicting that the crypto winter will last until December. However, there are some key factors behind the rise in crypto prices, especially among altcoins, since last week.
Easing inflation is driving investors back to crypto and riskier assets
Bitcoin price rose above $17,000 on Monday, hitting a three-week high in what market watchers believed was a reaction by investors to signs of easing inflation. Altcoins also saw significant gains, with Ethereum increasing by more than 4%.
The crypto market’s upward trend occurred just 24 hours after the Federal Reserve Bank of New York announced an expected inflation expectation of 5% for December, which was lower than the previously forecast 5.2%.
According to CoinDesk, the 5% reading marks a decline for the second month in a row, and the most recent reading is the lowest it has been since July 2021. The actions taken by the Federal Reserve to control inflation affect still the prices of both Bitcoin and Ether.
Investors are banking on the expectation of falling inflation as a sign of a sustainable market recovery, which explains a rise in long bets on both ETH and BTC. The Fed also expects interest rates to average around 5%.
Bitcoin Miners Break Multi-Month Selling Streak, As Crypto Prices Jump
Bitcoin miners were forced to continue divesting themselves of their Bitcoin holdings in 2022 as crypto prices broke out into the green. The collapse of FTX made matters worse for miners, forcing many to shut down their rigs due to ‘miner capitulation’.
William Clemente, the founder of Reflexivity, a crypto research platform, believes, “the heavy selling pressure from Bitcoin miners that has blocked the market for the past 4 months has finally subsided for the time being.”
On-chain data from Glassnode, one of the leading crypto analytics platforms, confirms insight into miner capitulation relief over a 30-day net position. Additionally, Bitcoin miner reserves hit a monthly high on January 8th.
Extreme Fear Drives Crypto Price Recovery
Veteran investors believe you should buy when everyone else is reeling under seemingly endless losses. However, this statement cannot be taken lightly considering the devastation investors have been assured of in 2022.
According to Alternative.me, a platform that presents the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, general market sentiment fell back to the top of the most bearish bracket last weekend. The index holds at 26, roughly where it has been for the past month.
Despite the bullish movement in crypto prices, altcoin volume remains relatively low based on chain data from Santiment. Therefore, for the market to keep the upward trend intact, it will need support from investors, especially the whales. Another report from CryptoQuant revealed that whale selling pressure eased in December, indicating a “positive effect on market sentiment” over the coming months.
Altcoins to Consider for Faster Returns
The rise in crypto prices points to a possible market turnaround in 2023, but that’s not guaranteed if 2022 is anything to go by. Therefore, investors should make deliberate decisions as they diversify their crypto portfolios.
New and emerging crypto projects can provide a faster escape from the bear market run. The assets listed here are in their pre-sales and are performing exceptionally well ahead of their first stock market listings.
Dash 2 Trade (D2T) is listed on Gate.io
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