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Home Crypto News & Analysis Bitcoin

Bitcoin(BTC) price is officially out of the “danger zone” after halving

by Dr. Jane Chen
May 14, 2024
in Bitcoin
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Bitcoin(BTC) price is officially out of the “danger zone” after halving
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Bitcoin (BTC) price movement has been a roller coaster with frequent fluctuations. The recent collapse of the crypto market has investors monitoring the trajectory of BTC, specifically after the Bitcoin Halving event that took place last month, on April 20, 2024. Nevertheless, recent progress indicates that Bitcoin has not only survived the challenging period , but also indicative of a hopeful rise, signaling its departure from the post-halving “danger zone”.

Just a month earlier, on April 12, 2024, Bitcoin was seen trading at $70,000, but quickly dropped below the $60,000 level. This drop raised concerns for investors, reminiscent of past market cycles. Nevertheless, in the midst of uncertainty, a glimmer of hope appeared – the idea of ​​the post-halving reaccumulation series.

Navigating the Post-Halving Volatility

Historically, the post-halving period is recognized for increased volatility, characterized by downward price trends. This event, commonly known as the “danger zone”, usually extends over several weeks after the halving event. Analysts have closely watched Bitcoin’s performance in this time frame, comparing it to previous halving cycles to predict possible outcomes.

Rekt Capital recently analyzed Bitcoin’s movements in the post-halving reaccumulation series, providing important insights into its price trends. The analysis of historical data from the previous halving cycle in 2016 revealed comparable patterns in the current cycle. Even with a -6.5% drop below the low reaccumulation range, Bitcoin showed resilience and began a consistent recovery.

Bitcoin Post-Halving Danger Zone Chart
Bitcoin Post-Halving ‘Danger Zone’ Chart (Source: RektCapital)

Arthur Hayes and experts on price trends and market sentiment

Arthur Hayes, former CEO of BitMEX, predicts Bitcoin has reached a local bottom and will slowly recover in the next few months. Bitcoin will rise above $60,000 and then trade between $60,000 and $70,000 until August. The recent drop has been attributed to several factors, including tax season in the US and Bitcoin halving “selling the news event.”

Hayes expects crypto markets to rise due to increased dollar liquidity from the Federal Reserve’s quantitative tightening. He sees this as positive for high-risk assets and believes that prices will rise gradually.

Other experts like Jeff Ross also expect a sideways market ahead of a potential rally event.

Bitcoin’s Resilience: Moving Beyond Price Swings

Bitcoin’s recent bounce holds more importance than just price changes; it is a crucial point in its path to halving. The market’s confidence is strengthened by the completion of the “danger zone” after halving, which is shown by the downward volatility satisfying below the reaccumulation low. Investors feel relieved as Bitcoin moves towards stability and potential growth.

While technical analysis provides important insights into Bitcoin’s price movements, it is crucial to consider the broader cryptocurrency environment as well. Bitcoin price movement is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors, regulatory developments and market sentiments. In the changing cryptocurrency landscape, investors must still rely on adaptability and foresight to succeed.

Current Bitcoin(BTC) Price Action

Current Bitcoin Price ActionCurrent Bitcoin Price Action

Over the last 24 hours, BTC price traded between a low of $60,799.61 and a high of $63,422.66, currently at $61,911.31. The coin has seen a slight growth of 1.01% in its value in the past day, but recorded losses of 2.59% and 4.30% in the past week and month respectively.

With the recovery of the crypto market, Bitcoin dominates 53.84% of the market, an increase of 0.05% over the past day.

Closure

As we say goodbye to the post-halving “danger zone,” both Bitcoin enthusiasts and investors can move forward with optimism. Despite possible obstacles in the future, Bitcoin’s resilience in the face of adversity continues to solidify its role as a durable digital asset that can transform the financial industry. As the adventure continues, it is clear that the Bitcoin story is not over yet, and there may be more exciting developments ahead.

Disclaimer for Uncirculars, with a Touch of Personality:

While we love diving into the exciting world of crypto here at Uncirculars, remember that this post, and all our content, is purely for your information and exploration. Think of it as your crypto compass, pointing you in the right direction to do your own research and make informed decisions.

No legal, tax, investment, or financial advice should be inferred from these pixels. We’re not fortune tellers or stockbrokers, just passionate crypto enthusiasts sharing our knowledge.

And just like that rollercoaster ride in your favorite DeFi protocol, past performance isn’t a guarantee of future thrills. The value of crypto assets can be as unpredictable as a moon landing, so buckle up and do your due diligence before taking the plunge.

Ultimately, any crypto adventure you embark on is yours alone. We’re just happy to be your crypto companion, cheering you on from the sidelines (and maybe sharing some snacks along the way). So research, explore, and remember, with a little knowledge and a lot of curiosity, you can navigate the crypto cosmos like a pro!

UnCirculars – Cutting through the noise, delivering unbiased crypto news

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Dr. Jane Chen

Dr. Jane Chen

Armed with a PhD in cryptography and years of research, Dr. Chen dives deep into the technical intricacies of blockchain. Her insightful analyses of white papers and on-chain data provide a unique understanding of the technology's potential and limitations.

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