One of the most popular virtual currencies in the world is Bitcoin which is usually the first headline maker in the cryptocurrency ecosystem and it is all thanks to rapid price change and movement in the market. Most people believe that Bitcoin will hit US$100k in the near future with many more changes for the better in the cryptocurrency market as a whole.
This article analyzes factors behind this optimism and will uncover the possible impact on Bitcoin to a greater or lesser extent of the recent developments. Will Bitcoin Reach US$100k? Check out the Bitcoin price prediction by experts and see what you think.
Overview of the Cryptocurrency: Bitcoin
Bitcoin stands as the initial and widely recognized decentralized digital currency, founded in 2009 by an anonymous individual or collective under the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto. It facilitates secure transactions over the Internet without the involvement of middlemen. These transactions are confirmed by nodes across the network and documented in a public, decentralized ledger known as a blockchain, protected by encryption and operating on a network-to-network model.
New bitcoins are minted through a method known as mining, which involves using computer resources to tackle complex mathematical equations that produce new coins. These bitcoins are stored in online digital wallets and can be acquired, transferred, bought, sold and exchanged on cryptocurrency markets. As of May 2024, just four addresses held more than 3.5% of the total Bitcoin supply, indicating a significant concentration of ownership.
The value of Bitcoin skyrocketed, reaching nearly US$65,000 in November 2021, only to drop below US$20,000 per year in the following year. Digital currencies like Bitcoin are seen by many as a speculative bubble that has burst and may never regain its former value after falling to a low of US$2,000 in May 2024.
History of Bitcoin Price Movements
Before you know it, will Bitcoin reach 100k in the future? Let’s dig into the history of Bitcoin price movements. The price of Bitcoin has been very volatile since its inception. There have been rapid rises and sharp falls in the cost of the cryptocurrency. The beginning of Bitcoin’s history was between 2009 and 2011 when the BTC’s price traded from zero to US$0.30 by the end of 2010. The peak of the price was reached in 2011 at US$0.95.
At the beginning of the peak of 2012-2013, two major peaks can be shown in the table: US$100 in April and US$200 in October 2013. On November 29, the price reached US$1,242. It was the first time that the market valuation of the total supply of bitcoins approached US$1 billion. Due to various factors, such as adoption and diversification, the first real BTC transaction occurred when Laszlo Hanyecz bought two pizzas for BTC in May 2010.
Volatility and a few market crashes occurred between 2014-2017. The price then fell to around US$340-US$530, before a brief flash crash to US$110 in October following the Silk Road seizure. Prices were mostly stable between 2015 and 2016, ranging between US$200 and US$500. But then in 2017, the price of Bitcoin went on a huge run, crossing over US$1,290 in March and surging past US$2,000 in May. It later broke US$8,000 in November and then fell to US$3,300 in December.
Pandemic Price Fluctuations and Recovery Period: 2020–2021 It fell by 50 percent at the beginning of 2020 during the pandemic. Again it increased to US$10,944 in July and US$19,850 in November. Bitcoin in 2021 broke to new all-time highs, hitting US$41,973 in January, over US$50,000 in February and past US$64,800 in April. The most recent trend between 2001 and 2003 was a major decline and the price fell below US$30,000 in 2001 and below US$20,000 at the end of 2002. Although the price of bitcoin took a dramatic upswing by 2023, it rose to US$42,258 by the end of the year.
Current market sentiment among traders and investors
In 2024, the current market sentiment of the Bitcoin trading and investment community is the sum of a few factors such as the investor psychology, the market conditions and the regulations in this field. Changes in Bitcoin price visualize positive with investor sentiment and negative visualization through investor sentiment changes. This link between sentiment and future returns holds firmly across the entire range of Bitcoin returns, including conditions of extremely negative or extremely positive Bitcoin price changes.
The rise of futures trading based on Bitcoin prices actually led to a regime change in long-range behavior of the price time series, making the price more volatile and more likely to experience regime shifts. This increased volatility is mainly due to the increased presence of institutional investors and the greater leverage offered by futures markets.
Furthermore, the aggregate momentum in other major cryptocurrencies, especially in the top three, drives the price of Bitcoin, and including a control for this momentum makes the sentiment-return relationship extremely robust. This points out that the dynamics of the larger cryptocurrency market must be taken into account when trying to analyze the price of Bitcoin.
As mentioned earlier, a major factor affecting Bitcoin prices is investor sentiment, and thus it is critical for investors and traders to know their ways around the market. Investor sentiment in Bitcoin, which can easily influence the price of the leading asset, is more likely to be determined by market conditions and regulatory developments.
Investor sentiment analysis will be essential to making smart decisions and gaining a better understanding as the market continues to evolve and as the above landscape continues to evolve.
Will Bitcoin Reach US$100k?
The probability that Bitcoin is positioned to reach US$100k in the not-so-distant future is almost inevitable, as assessed by many experts. Noted investment manager Timothy Peterson said that Bitcoin has experienced a 100% gain within the first 180 days of the year since 2015. This gives a very high probability that Bitcoin will hit or break US$100k by August.
For the first time since the year 2024, Bitcoin crossed the US$73,000 mark on the second of March this year, raising expectations to reach US$100,000. It was driven by a surge in investor optimism following the launch of US spot Bitcoin ETFs and significant investments from notable individuals, including Asana co-founder Peter Thiel.
In addition, the daily mining supply literally halved by 50% and also created a supply shock scenario for continued increase in demand and prices. Increased interest and inflows from institutional players such as AllianceBernstein, who recently projected a new cycle high of $150k for Bitcoin in 2025, are adding to the excitement and inflows to other prolific institutions.
With the halving event and the subsequent decrease in daily projected new supply of Bitcoins, and as hedge funds and mutual funds begin to get on board, it is highly likely that the price of the Bitcoin will rise above US$100k in the next 18 months .
Although the forecast is positive, it is worth noting that the cryptocurrency market is unpredictable and the historical data used may not be accurate and the future results will be achieved in the same way. Always do your research and consider risk tolerance before making your investment decisions.
Expert opinions
Expert opinions on Bitcoin price movements are overwhelmingly bullish, with many predicting that the cryptocurrency will reach US$100k by the end of 2024. Geoff Kendrick, head of crypto research at Standard Chartered Bank, believes that the BTC price will hit US$100k by the end of 2024.
Frank Holmes, executive chairman of HIVE Digital Technologies, predicts that Bitcoin could potentially double in value to 4x over the next 12 months, putting the price at US$100k. Additionally, altFINS suggests that the Bitcoin price is in an uptrend, consolidating in a sideways channel between US$60,000 and US$72,000, and if the price breaks its previous high of around US$73,000, it could hit US$100k in June reach.
Nasdaq also predicts that Bitcoin will reach US$100k in 2024, following its impressive 2023 performance. Timothy Peterson, a notable investment manager, predicts that Bitcoin has a 50% chance of reaching US$100k by August, based on historical performance. These predictions are fueled by the recent rally above US$73,000 in March 2024, which sparked speculation about Bitcoin’s trajectory to US$100k.
The consensus among experts is that Bitcoin is poised for significant growth in the near future. The approval of the first Bitcoin ETFs and the upcoming halving event are expected to contribute to increased demand and higher prices.
Many experts believe that the cryptocurrency will continue to rise, with some predicting that it could reach as high as US$200,000 by the end of 2024. Overall, the expert opinions suggest that Bitcoin is likely to continue its upward trend and reach US$100k by the end of 2024.
Closure
The question “Will Bitcoin reach US$100k?” is uncertain, but the predictions of experts and market trends suggest that it may indeed reach US$100k in the near future. The growing adoption of Bitcoin and increasing institutional investment could lead to a significant price rise Although there are risks associated with investing in cryptocurrencies, the potential rewards are significant.
As the market continues to evolve, it is crucial for investors to stay informed and adapt to changing market conditions. With the halving event on the horizon, the stage is set for a potentially historic price move. Will Bitcoin Reach US$100k? Only time will tell, but the signs are promising.
Frequently Asked Questions
1. How High Can Bitcoin Realistically Go?
Experts predict that Bitcoin could potentially double in value over the next 12 months driven by institutional investment and market optimism.
2. Can Bitcoin Go to Zero?
Bitcoin’s value is extremely unlikely to go to zero due to its limited supply, robust blockchain infrastructure and increasing demand as an alternative to fiat currencies. Although theoretically possible, the probability is low, and the cryptocurrency has consistently recovered from previous corrections, indicating its resilience and potential for long-term growth.
3. Is it safe to invest in Bitcoin?
While investing in Bitcoin is profitable, it is also considered risky due to its extreme volatility, with prices potentially falling rapidly and taking years to regain previous highs.
4. Is Bitcoin future safe?
Bitcoin’s future security is uncertain due to various risks, including market volatility, regulatory challenges, and cybersecurity threats. However, the cryptocurrency’s robust technology and ongoing community efforts have made it a resilient system, with experts predicting a low probability of it going to zero.
5. What is the biggest risk of Bitcoin?
The biggest risk of Bitcoin is the threat of government regulation, which could potentially ban the cryptocurrency, making it illegal to own or mine. This risk is significant because governments worldwide could restrict or ban the use of Bitcoin, which could significantly affect its value and adoption.
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