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Home Crypto News & Analysis On-Chain Data & Metrics

Unpacking the whale effect on crypto markets

by Dr. Jane Chen
January 26, 2024
in On-Chain Data & Metrics
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Unpacking the whale effect on crypto markets
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© Getty Images/Joe Raedle

The recent drop in Bitcoin’s value has caught the attention of market analysts and investors. A particularly intriguing theory claims that this downturn, which caused Bitcoin to lose $9,000 in a week, can be attributed to the actions of a single investor – a “whale” in crypto parlance.

The Power of One: How a Whale Shook the Bitcoin Market

James Van Straten, a research and data analyst at CryptoSlate, has put forward an analysis that suggests that the massive selling of Bitcoin by a lone whale could have caused the recent price drop.

This investor, who amassed a staggering 100,000 BTC during Bitcoin’s peak in 2021, finally broke even last week and took the opportunity to sell at $49,000. The magnitude of this transaction was significant enough to affect the entire market, leading to Bitcoin’s biggest one-day drop since the infamous FTX crash.

The story of this investor is a classic tale of resilience in the volatile cryptocurrency market. Having bought the Bitcoins at a time when their value was at an all-time high of $4.8 billion, the investor weathered the storm of the subsequent price pullout.

Despite enduring Bitcoin’s longest bear market and facing an unrealized loss of 75%, the investor’s patience paid off. The eventual sale at a marginal profit netted an impressive $100 million. This incident highlights the huge influence that major players can have in the cryptocurrency market.

Their actions, whether driven by strategy or necessity, can send ripples across the global market, affecting millions of smaller investors.

The ripple effects and future implications

The aftermath of this significant sell-off goes beyond the immediate impact on Bitcoin’s price.

This raises questions about the future movements of large institutional investors in the crypto market. The size of the whale’s selling was so large that it rivaled the activity surrounding the newly approved exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and the potential liquidation of the Greyscale Bitcoin Trust’s (GBTC) position.

Van Straten’s analysis points to a continuing trend where large BTC selling by institutional investors may not be over yet. The introduction of institutional access to Bitcoin, which was expected to limit supply and drive up prices, has yet to have the expected effect on the market.

Instead, the possibility of further sell-offs looms, possibly adding to the sell-side pressure. This situation is a stark reminder of the unpredictability and complexity inherent in cryptocurrency markets, where large-scale transactions by a few key players can significantly affect market dynamics.

The growing influence of institutional investors

One aspect that cannot be overlooked in the recent dynamics of the cryptocurrency market is the growing influence of institutional investors. These entities, with their considerable financial influence, are increasingly shaping the trajectory of digital currencies.

Their investment strategies and market movements often have the power to sway prices and market sentiment, sometimes overshadowing the activities of individual investors. As the cryptocurrency market matures, the role and impact of these institutional players is expected to become more pronounced, introducing a new layer of complexity to an already complicated market landscape.

Ethereum’s Resilience: Defying Market Trends

In stark contrast to Bitcoin’s recent struggles, Ethereum has shown remarkable resilience. The second largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization held strong at the $2,500 support level, despite bearish trends in the broader crypto market.

ETH© Getty Images/Jack Taylor

Ethereum’s Growing Dominance: Factors Fueling Its Strength

Several factors contribute to Ethereum’s strengthening position against Bitcoin. Data from Coinglass indicates that Ethereum experiences a dominance in short versus long liquidations, with $15.03 million of ETH shorts liquidated versus $5.3 million in long liquidations.

This indicates a bullish sentiment among investors, further evidenced by the ETH/USD pair reaching highs of $2,614, breaking the resistance at $2,500. In addition, a report from 10xResearch reveals Ethereum’s increasing share of open interest in perpetual futures.

While Bitcoin’s open interest share remained relatively flat, Ethereum’s share increased significantly from 21.8% to 26.5%. This shift in interest underscores Ethereum’s growing influence in the cryptocurrency market and investor confidence in its potential.

The increasing creation of new Ethereum addresses further supports the platform’s growing appeal. With approximately 89,400 new addresses being created daily, and a record of 96,300 on January 16, Ethereum’s network is expanding rapidly.

This expansion, along with the declining supply of ETH on exchanges, indicates a tendency toward self-preservation and phasing out, reducing the likelihood of a large-scale selloff. These factors collectively paint a picture of Ethereum’s robust market strength and its potential to continue to outperform Bitcoin in the near term.

The intricacies of crypto markets

The recent events in the cryptocurrency markets, from the influential actions of a Bitcoin whale to Ethereum’s steadfast performance, illustrate the multifaceted nature of these digital assets.

With new upgrades like Ethereum’s “Dencun” and the potential launch of a Solana ETF, investors and analysts must remain vigilant and adaptive. The only constant in the world of cryptocurrency is change, and understanding the undercurrents that drive these changes is key to navigating this complex and exciting market.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Disclaimer for Uncirculars, with a Touch of Personality:

While we love diving into the exciting world of crypto here at Uncirculars, remember that this post, and all our content, is purely for your information and exploration. Think of it as your crypto compass, pointing you in the right direction to do your own research and make informed decisions.

No legal, tax, investment, or financial advice should be inferred from these pixels. We’re not fortune tellers or stockbrokers, just passionate crypto enthusiasts sharing our knowledge.

And just like that rollercoaster ride in your favorite DeFi protocol, past performance isn’t a guarantee of future thrills. The value of crypto assets can be as unpredictable as a moon landing, so buckle up and do your due diligence before taking the plunge.

Ultimately, any crypto adventure you embark on is yours alone. We’re just happy to be your crypto companion, cheering you on from the sidelines (and maybe sharing some snacks along the way). So research, explore, and remember, with a little knowledge and a lot of curiosity, you can navigate the crypto cosmos like a pro!

UnCirculars – Cutting through the noise, delivering unbiased crypto news

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Dr. Jane Chen

Dr. Jane Chen

Armed with a PhD in cryptography and years of research, Dr. Chen dives deep into the technical intricacies of blockchain. Her insightful analyses of white papers and on-chain data provide a unique understanding of the technology's potential and limitations.

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