Candlestick analysis helps readers place trades or adjust exposure in the market
One of the many tools traders have at their disposal is candlestick analysis. Invented centuries ago to track Japanese rice prices, candlestick analysis was popularized in the 1990s after Steve Nison released the book Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques.
Traders can use candlestick analysis to understand market trends and sentiment, which helps guide decision making when placing trades or adjusting exposure in the market.
What is a chandelier?
A candlestick is a single bar for a specific time frame (hourly, daily, weekly, etc.) that consists of three potential sections: the body, which is the difference between the open and the close; the upper pith, which indicates how high prices moved during the period; and the lower fuse, which indicates how low prices moved during the period.
Candlesticks tell a story about how price action unfolded during the reference timeframe. Groups of candlesticks can provide insight into shifts in sentiment and direction in markets, which can help scale risk management around new or existing positions.
In this article, we will review five candlestick patterns that technical traders can use to identify opportunities in markets.
Doji
A doji candlestick has a “T” shape that indicates the same opening and closing price of an asset, resulting in a negligible or absent body and symmetrical upper and lower shadows. The doji generally reflects market uncertainty, but can also indicate a weakening of the prevailing trend.
For example, a doji in an uptrend can indicate a decrease in buying pressure or an increase in selling pressure. Traders may interpret this as an opportunity to close their existing position.
Bullish Enulfing and Bearish Enulfing
Sinking candles indicate either potential trend reversal in the market (eg a bullish engulfing bar, or bullish key reversal, at a low) or a strengthening of a trend (eg a bullish engulfing bar during ‘ an upward trend). This pattern consists of two candles with the second completely covering the body of the previous candle.
The engulfing candle can be either bullish or bearish depending on its position in the current trend. A bullish engulfing candle pattern consists of two candles with the second completely covering the body of the preceding red/down candle. A bearish engulfing candle pattern has two candles with the second candle eclipsing the body of the preceding green/up candle.
Morning Star and Evening Star
The morning star pattern consists of three candles that indicate a bullish reversal at the end of a downtrend. It shows a decrease in downward pressure before a significant bullish move initiates a new uptrend.
The evening star pattern consists of three candles that indicate a bearish reversal at the end of an uptrend. It shows a decrease in upward pressure before a significant bearish move initiates a new downtrend.
Binneday or Binnekroeg
Intra-day or intra-bars occur when candlestick patterns on a specific time frame are bounded by the previous session’s high and low. The inside bar shows a narrower trading range than the previous session.
Often indicating some consolidation, a series of intradays can indicate an upcoming trend reversal. The interior beam is the opposite of the engulfing chandelier. The inside bar fits completely inside the previous bar: it cannot trade above the previous bar’s high or low.
Hammer and shooting star
A hammer has a bullish implication with a long lower pith, negligible or absent upper pith and a limited body near the day’s high. It follows a downtrend and may indicate a trend reversal to the upside. The gap between the low and opening price of the candle should exceed twice the size of the hammer’s body. The gap between the highest price for the day and the closing price should be very small or absent.
A shooting star has a bearish implication with a long upper pith, negligible or absent lower pith and a limited body near the day’s low. It follows an upward trend and may indicate a trend reversal to the downside. The gap between the high and opening price of the candle should exceed twice the size of the shooting star’s body.
The gap between the lowest price for the day and the closing price should be very small or absent.
Christopher Vecchio, CFA, tastylive’s head of futures and forex, has been trading for nearly 20 years. He has consulted with multinational firms on FX hedging and lectured at Duke Law School on FX derivatives. Vecchio looks for high-convexity opportunities at the crossroads of macroeconomics and global politics. He hosts Futures Power Hour Monday-Friday and Let Me Explain on Tuesdays, and co-hosts Overtime, Monday-Thursday. @cvecchiofx
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