Visualize the first world dangers in 2024
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What is the global threat landscape in 2024?
Filer global temperatures are leading to more and more dangerous impacts, a cost-of-inhabitant disaster is making life more bearable for people around the world on a regular basis, and rising tensions within the Center East have the potential to spill over into a wider region. to knit. struggle.
Meanwhile, 2024 is expected to be the world’s biggest election year ever with 4 billion people casting a vote in 60 countries. Will threats equal to misinformation and polarization loom large as people head to the polls?
This visualization shows the top threats for 2024, based primarily on the World Financial Discussion Board’s annual survey of leaders around the world.
Global threat profile in 2024
Below are the top 20 threats to the global financial system, based primarily on a survey of 1,490 leaders.
Leaders were asked to decide on as many as 5 hazards that are more likely to cause a cloth disaster on a global scale in 2024:
2024 Rating Threat Share of Respondents Class 1 Excessive Climate 66% Environment 2 Misinformation and Disinformation 53% Technological 3 Society Polarization 46% Society 4 Price-of-Life Disaster 42% Society 5 Cyber Attacks 39% Technological 7 Disrupt Financial Turbulence 7 for Crucial Items and Resources 25 % Financial 8 Escalation or outbreak of interstate armed conflict(s) 25% Geopolitical 9 Assaults on critical infrastructure 19% Geopolitical 10 Disrupt food supply chains 18% Financial 11 Censorship and erosion of freedom of speech 16% Vitality chains 14% Financial 13 Public debt misery 14% Financial 14 Ability or labor scarcity 13% Financial 15 Accidental or intentional nuclear incidents 12% Geopolitical 16 Violent civil strikes and riots 11% Geopolitical launch of 8 or inadvertent organic 17 institutional launch of 8 or 17 collapse within the monetary sector 7% Financial 19 Housing Bubble Burst 4% Financial 20 Tech Bubble Burst 4% Financial
Excessive climate poses the most important threat based on leaders surveyed. It also holds second general by way of seriousness over the next two years.
Global economies are generally unprepared for the implications of acute climate, from shocks to food shortages to large-scale infrastructure damage. In fact, some analyzes show that likely irreversible adjustments to the planet could be reached by the 2030s if temperatures continue to rise.
Misinformation and disinformation are the second biggest threat, which can reduce trust and deepen political divisions. It also has the potential to undermine global elections, which are planned throughout the US, Russia, India, Mexico and dozens of other nations.
The specter of misinformation is very apparent given developments in AI-generated content material. It ranks first overall by way of threat severity throughout the checklist.
Associated with misinformation is the danger of societal polarization. Within the post-pandemic period, political divisions have worsened, and this has been exacerbated by financial hardship and an absence of financial alternative.
In addition, the fighting within the Center East has a serious impact on the livelihood of thousands and thousands of individuals, and the recent attack in Lebanon raises questions about the outbreak of a wider fight. The escalation of interstate armed conflicts is the eighth biggest threat to the global financial system in 2024, and the fifth most extreme.
Future world dangers
How will global threats be reworked over the next decade?
By 2034, leaders surveyed envision environmental hazards as likely to matter most, accounting for 5 of the top 10 hazards, in order of severity:
2034 Rating Threat Class 1 Excessive climate opportunities Environment 2 Major change to Earth techniques Environment 3 Biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse Environment 4 Purely useful resource shortages Environment 5 Misinformation and disinformation Technological 6 Antagonistic outcomes of AI applied sciences Technological 7 Involuntary migration Technological Involuntary migration 9 Society polarization Society 10 Air Pollution Environments
We are able to see that technological dangers of misinformation and the opposite outcomes of AI applied sciences remain quite dominant in addition.
AI has the potential to be extremely destabilizing to society, posing some existential dangers due to its function as a “force multiplier”, indicating that it actually impacts a rustic’s naval techniques, information analysis, and different capabilities. can improve.
From a broader perspective, key structural forces influence global dangers trying to move forward. They embody technological acceleration, local weather change, shifts in geopolitical energy and a widening demographic divide.
Where does this information come from?
Offer: The World Financial Discussion Board’s Global Risks Report 2024.
Information note: The chart in this article is based on the World Dangers Notion Survey 2023-2024. A list of world hazards and their definitions is shown in desk A.1 of the PDF. The report also includes detailed information on pattern sizes and demographics of respondents, discovered on p. 101.
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