BTC USD Price Prediction: Could Bitcoin Crash to $10,000
Bitget chief analyst Ryan Lee believes a drop to $10,000 in the near future is highly unlikely. He told The Economic Times that such a collapse would require “an extreme systemic shock such as a global liquidity crisis, nuclear conflict or a collapse of internet infrastructure, rather than typical market cycles.” According to Lee, the current market environment points in the opposite direction: spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to see steady inflows even during geopolitical tensions, indicating institutional recognition of Bitcoin as a 24/7 hedge rather than just a speculative asset. Rising mining costs, estimated at around $70,000 per BTC due to higher energy prices, also reduce the incentive for miners to sell at lower prices. Beyond traditional market factors, Lee highlights Bitcoin’s technological role in AI-driven payments, settlements and tokenized computing, positioning it as a key medium of exchange in the emerging AI economy.
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Ryan Lee of Bitget explains why Bitcoin USD crash is highly unlikely
Lee explained that, “For Bitcoin to fall to $10,000 would likely require an unprecedented disruption of the ecosystem itself rather than standard liquidity events. After enduring several liquidation cycles in recent years, the industry’s structure is significantly stronger. Extreme downside forecasts can serve as useful stress tests for risk management, but they should not distract long-term impressionable investors from Bitcoin. upward trajectory.”
BTC USD Outlook: Crypto market underperformance vs S&P 500 raises concerns
On the other hand, Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone predicts that Bitcoin could fall to $10,000, describing the crypto asset class as “dead” from an institutional perspective, according to a Benzinga report. McGlone points to Bitcoin’s unlimited supply, underperformance against the S&P 500 over the past five years, and increasing correlation with stocks as key issues.
Bloomberg’s Mike McGlone explains why BTC USD could fall to $10,000
He notes that the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index has underperformed the S&P 500 since 2017, losing roughly 20% in 2025 and 20% year-to-date in 2026. McGlone also highlights the explosive growth of cryptocurrencies, from Bitcoin alone in 2009 to $37 million today, while many of these coins are untraceable. nothing” and has unlimited inventory, as per the Benzinga report.
McGlone pegs $10,000 as a historically significant level for Bitcoin, comparable to how crude oil hovered around $57 a barrel for a decade. He believes a broader risk asset correction could bring Bitcoin back to this level.
While he was previously partially wrong in his 2018 prediction that Bitcoin would fall to $1,100, he later correctly predicted the surge to over $100,000 in 2020 by “just adding a zero,” as per the Benzinga report.
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Deflationary risks and US Treasuries can affect crypto market
The strategist also warns of a post-inflationary deflationary period similar to China, with US Treasuries expected to outperform following Bitcoin’s dominance in the last decade and gold’s strength in 2025. He emphasizes that crypto’s high volatility and poor five-year performance make it unsuitable as an institutional asset under conventional risk management principles.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why does Ryan Lee think Bitcoin is resilient?
ETFs are seeing inflows, mining costs are high, and its technological use in AI payments is strengthening its position.
What will it take for Bitcoin to fall to $10,000?
Lee says an unprecedented disruption to the ecosystem, not typical market cycles.
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