Will this week’s macro events ignite the next bull run to $115,000?

Today, the crypto market is on the brink of what could be one of the most explosive weeks of 2025. With the end of the US government shutdown, an FOMC rate cut expected, and the Federal Reserve set to inject $1.5 trillion in liquidity, traders are calling it the “perfect storm” for a massive Bitcoin price breakout. As global risk sentiment improves and regulatory clarity approaches, Bitcoin’s trajectory this week could define the next phase of the bull market — or mark another turning point in its ongoing consolidation near the $106,000 mark.

Macro setup: The most important week of 2025

The coming days feature a stacked calendar of US economic and policy catalysts:

Monday: The US government reopens, easing fiscal uncertainty and boosting investor confidence. Tuesday: The FOMC meeting is expected to deliver a long-awaited rate cut, potentially lowering borrowing costs and signaling a move back to monetary easing. Wednesday: The Federal Reserve’s $1.5 trillion in liquidity could drive its financial demand to the financial market. rare assets like Bitcoin and gold.Thursday: S&P 500 earnings reports will provide a snapshot of corporate health and broader market sentiment.Friday: A bill legalizing crypto is reportedly set for signing, marking a potential landmark step in institutional acceptance.Saturday: Tariff deadlines add short-term uncertainty but could trigger a safe-haven buy.

Together, these events could set the stage for the most significant Bitcoin price reaction in months.

Technical Outlook: Key Levels and Market Data

At press time, Bitcoin (BTC) price is trading around $106,000, up more than 4% in the last 24 hours. The broader trend remains cautiously bullish. After the bullish weekend, the price was believed to break an important range between $106,311 and $106,700. However, the bears seem to have capitulated to the range, and as a result the sign is struggling hard to sustain within the range.

The BTC price has broken out of the consolidation and is trying hard to break the crucial resistance zone. The technicals favor the bulls as MACD hints at a bullish crossover while RSI remains incremental.

Immediate resistance: $110,700 Support zone: $100,618 RSI: 64 (neutral-to-bullish) MACD: Turning positive on the daily chart

On-chain data reinforces the bullish bias. Long-term holders have increased their holdings by 6% since the end of October, while currency outflows continue to rise, indicating reduced selling pressure. Whale accumulation is mixed—large wallets (1,000–10,000 BTC) are steady, but the biggest whales remain cautious. ETF flows remain slightly negative, although analysts expect inflows to recover after FOMC.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Target $112K–$115K

Market strategists note that rate cuts and liquidity expansions usually precede Bitcoin’s strongest rallies. During similar cycles in 2020 and 2023, BTC rose more than 30% in the weeks following Fed easing. If the $1.5 trillion liquidity injection materializes, it could act as a catalyst for the next leg of the bull run, especially if paired with the potential crypto legalization bill on Friday.

If macro momentum aligns, Bitcoin could break above $110,000 this week and target $112K-$115K as traders rotate capital into digital assets. However, failure to hold above $104,000 could trigger a short-term correction to $98,000, especially if ETF inflows do not pick up.

Overall, sentiment remains cautiously optimistic — the “cards are stacking” as one analyst put it, and the coming days could be the start of Bitcoin’s next big rally.

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