Jakarta, Pintu News – This week is predicted to be the most volatile period of 2026 for the crypto market. A number of US economic and macro policy agendas will be in focus for investors and traders.
From inflation data, liquidity injection by the Federal Reserve, to economic announcements from President Donald Trump, all have the potential to drastically change market direction. In addition, regulatory developments related to the crypto market structure bill will also determine sentiment at the end of the week.
Inflation Data and Fed Policy: Determinants of Crypto Market Direction
Earlier this week, investors’ attention was focused on the release of US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation data, which is the main benchmark for the Federal Reserve. The latest data showed that PCE inflation rose 2.9% year-on-year, beating market expectations and dashing hopes of a rate cut in the near future.
This puts risky assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum under further pressure as investors tend to be risk averse amid high inflation. Market participants are now waiting to see if the pace of price increases will begin to slow or strengthen further.
Also, on Tuesday, the Federal Reserve is scheduled to inject $14.6 billion of liquidity into the financial markets. The move is seen as a temporary stimulus attempt to stabilize the market after disappointing macroeconomic data.
Some analysts think that this additional liquidity could increase interest in speculative assets such as Solana (SOL), Dogecoin and Pepe Coin (PEPE). However, it should be noted that this injection of liquidity differs from the full quantitative easing (QE) policy undertaken in the past.
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Fed Labor and Balance Sheet Data: Direct Impact on Crypto Sentiment
On Wednesday, initial jobless claims data will be released and is an important indicator of the strength of the US labor market. The latest data showed claims fell to 206,000, indicating a still firm labor market. If this trend continues, the strengthening US dollar could push the prices of cryptos like Ripple and Tether.
Conversely, if the labor data weakens, speculation about monetary policy easing could return and push up crypto prices. On Thursday, the market focus will turn to the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet report.
Investors will be watching closely for any tightening or loosening of liquidity that could cause a broad shift in risk sentiment. Even small changes to the Fed’s balance sheet can have a significant impact on Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) price volatility. Therefore, market participants are highly alert to any policy signals emerging from this report.
Regulation and Economic Announcements: Crypto Weekend Determinants
In addition to macroeconomic factors, regulatory developments are also a major concern this week. The White House has set a deadline of March 1 to reach an agreement on the CLARITY Act bill, which will be the cornerstone of the crypto market structure in the United States.
The negotiation process between representatives of the digital asset industry and banks is still in an impasse, especially regarding the issue of providing returns and reward schemes by crypto issuers. If a compromise is reached, it could provide legal certainty and encourage institutional investor interest in the crypto market.
Towards the end of the week, markets will also look forward to an economic announcement from President Donald Trump scheduled for Friday. Any new statement or policy from the White House has the potential to cause a quick reaction in the markets, especially if it is related to regulation or economic stimulus. The combination of macro data, monetary policy and regulatory developments make this week one of the most decisive periods for the future of the crypto market.
Deduction
With a series of important events taking place, the crypto market is expected to experience high volatility during this week. Market participants should keep a close eye on any developments in economic data, Federal Reserve policy and regulatory dynamics that could suddenly change the direction of prices.
Investors’ decisions amid this week of uncertainty will largely determine where the market stands in the months ahead. Whether the market will stabilize or enter a new phase of decline will be answered in the next few days.
Also Read: How To Play Bitcoin On HP For Beginners In 2026
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* Disclaimer
This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.
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